Less than two weeks ago, baseball fans marveled at the fact that the Arizona Diamondbacks controlled first place in the National League West, ahead of the defending champion San Francisco Giants.
Fast forward to today, and the D-backs are in the midst of a six-game losing streak and the completion of a fairly head-scratching trade with the Toronto Blue Jays, and most fans are doubting whether the club can hold on during the stretch run.
The key to the club's success this season has relied primarily on a vastly-improved pitching staff, particularly in the bullpen. Starters Daniel Hudson and Ian Kennedy have anchored the top half of the rotation despite numerous shuffles to the bottom half. But even with the Giants being written off by some after the loss of Buster Posey, the D-backs certainly aren't out of the woods yet.
Today, GM Kevin Towers sent 2B Kelly Johnson to the Blue Jays in exchange for 2B Aaron Hill and utility infielder John McDonald. In many ways, it's a deal that doesn't make a whole lot of sense from Arizona's perspective.
Johnson enjoyed a solid 2010 season in which he hit 26 home runs, but has struggled quite a bit this season. He's eligible to be a free agent this offseason with Type A status, and many baseball writers around the web have speculated that Toronto will let him walk during the offseason for draft pick compensation.
Hill has also seen his share of struggles this season, and has options for $8 million in both 2012 and 2013, but is still seen as at least an average ML second basemen. McDonald is known for his defensive skill around the infield, but that's about the only asset he'll provide for Arizona. Using him in the field during close, late-inning contests could provide at least a bit of comfort for the club's bullpen.
The deal doesn't seem to help the club in any huge way, even though it's not meant to have long-term impact. But even if Hill can find his stroke in hitter-friendly Chase Field, it still doesn't address the club's biggest Achilles' heel, the pitching staff.
Only the Nationals' starting staff has posted a worse xFIP over the last two weeks (beginning two days before the club took over first place) than the D-backs' rotation. The offense has also scored just seven runs during the six-game losing streak. Sure, three of those losses came at the hands of the pitching staff to end all pitching staffs in Philadelphia, but the lack of production is particularly concerning without a strong pitching staff behind it. Towers could tantalize fans with a September promotion of 2011 top pick Trevor Bauer, but it's hard to imagine a guy drafted just over two months ago being the piece that locks up the division.
While some fans are calling for the promotion of Bauer, currently in Double-A Mobile, the current back of the rotation remains a major area for concern. The club lost Jason Marquis in one of the oddest injuries you'll ever see, and is now counting on rookie lefty Wade Miley, veteran lefty Joe Saunders, and wannabe lefty Josh Collmenter. Not exactly the rotation you'd expect from a divisional leader.
The D-backs have a fairly easy schedule the rest of the way, but as has been made completely obvious, it'll be the pitching that decides their fate. They'll match up with San Francisco six more times the rest of the way (once at home, once on the road) and if they can't find a way to at least win both series, I'd say the club should probably secure a good spot on the couch to watch the playoffs come October. The Giants found themselves behind in the division race at the start of last September and despite their own offensive struggles and the recent loss of Brian Wilson, one certainly can't count them out of the race by any means.
Regardless of the outcome, GM Kevin Towers at least has Arizona headed in the right direction and it won't be long before Bauer is pitching at Chase.
It may be a tough pill to swallow for D-backs fans, but this team is slowly becoming what many thought they would be from the beginning.
P.S.
As a side note, watch out for the Rockies come September when it's time for Troy Tulowitzki's annual Babe Ruth impression. Just sayin'.


8/23/2011 03:39:00 PM
Conor Dorney

